Joe Biden Gets 'Worst-Ever' Polling Result in Democratic Stronghold

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President Joe Biden's favorability rating is its "worst ever" in the Democratic stronghold of New York while former President Donald Trump has made minimal gains in the state, according to a Siena College poll.

In 2020, Biden won New York by nearly 2 million votes, a roughly 23 percent margin over Trump. New York, which has remained a blue state for the most part since the Great Depression, has voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in the past nine elections and, in six of those, the nominee won by a 20 percent margin.

With the election less than five months away, Biden was viewed as favorable by 42 percent of New Yorkers while 53 percent had an unfavorable view of him, according to the Siena poll conducted between June 12 and 17.

Joe Biden
President Joe Biden delivers remarks in the East Room at the White House on June 18 in Washington, D.C. A Siena College poll recently found that Biden's favorability rating is its "worst ever" in the... Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

When the poll was published on Thursday, Siena College Research Institute said that June's favorability rating is Biden's "worst-ever" rating in the Empire State. In May, his favorability rating was 45 percent to 50 percent unfavorable and in April it was 45 percent to 52 percent.

Meanwhile, Trump's favorability rating in New York for the June poll was 37, with unfavorable at 59 percent compared to 39 percent favorable and 56 percent unfavorable in May.

Biden still leads Trump in New York by 8 points (47 percent to 39 percent), but Trump has made some minor gains in recent months while Biden's support remained at 47 percent. In May, 38 percent of New Yorkers said they'd support Trump, one point higher than April's poll.

June's poll surveyed 805 registered voters in New York and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

Newsweek reached out to Trump's campaign via email for comment. The Biden campaign declined to comment.

In national polling, Trump and Biden remain neck and neck. According to poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight, recent polling data shows Trump with 40.6 percent of voter support and Biden with 40.5 percent.

An The Economist/YouGov Poll conducted from June 16 to 18 showed Trump and Biden tied at 42 percent. The poll surveyed 1,600 U.S. adults, 1,396 of whom are registered voters. The margins of error were plus or minus 3.2 percent (adjusted for weighting) and plus or minus 3.1 percent (registered voters).

In the poll, Biden had a favorability rating of 39 percent to 59 percent unfavorable while 58 percent of respondents disapproved of the job he has done. Trump had a favorability rating of 42 percent to 54 percent unfavorable.

About the writer

Rachel Dobkin is a Newsweek reporter based in New York. Her focus is reporting on politics. Rachel joined Newsweek in October 2023. She is a graduate of The State University of New York at Oneonta. You can get in touch with Rachel by emailing r.dobkin@newsweek.com. Languages: English.


Rachel Dobkin is a Newsweek reporter based in New York. Her focus is reporting on politics. Rachel joined Newsweek in ... Read more