Joe Biden's Polling Nightmare Gets Worse

A number of recent polls have suggested President Joe Biden may lose the 2024 presidential election.

A year before voters head to the polls, state and federal surveys have pointed to the Democrat losing in key states while he is also struggling with infighting in his party over the ongoing Israel-Hamas war.

One poll of 15,000 Americans from Stack Data Strategy, found that Donald Trump - Biden's likeliest Republican rival—would beat Biden in the Electoral College, 292 to 246 by flipping back four key states, if the election was held today. This is despite the market research firm finding that Biden remains on course to narrowly win the popular vote, 49 percent to 48 percent.

Meanwhile in Arizona, local polling of 1,010 adults by Noble Predictive Insights (NPI), an Arizona-based polling and data analytics firm, found that 46 percent of voters preferred Trump while 38 percent intended to vote for Biden. 16 percent were undecided.

NPI also asked voters whether they are primarily supporters of Biden or the Democrats more generally. Only 19 percent said they were primarily supporters of Biden while 70 percent said they were supporters of the Democratic Party.

When Republicans were asked the same question, 35 percent said they were Trump supporters, while 53 percent said they were supporters of the Republican Party.

Polls conducted earlier this month, by The New York Times and Siena College, also painted a bleak picture for Biden. They showed voters are backing Trump by margins of 4 to 10 percentage points in five of six important election battleground states.

If the results in the poll were the same by the time of the election next November, Trump would win more than 300 Electoral College votes. 270 is needed to become president.

Unity within his own party isn't much better as Democrats are almost split in half over Biden's handling of the war between Israel and Hamas. Fifty percent of Democrats approve of Biden's handling of the situation so far, but 46 percent disapprove, according to an Associated Press/NORC Center for Public Affairs Research survey of 1,239 American adults, conducted between November 2 and 6.

This marks a stark change from August, when 57 percent supported the administration's handling of the Israel-Palestine conflict and just 40 percent disapproved.

However, despite polling issues, Democrats won a series of competitive ballots on election day on November 7, including winning control of both the Virginia state's chambers of government and increasing their majority in the Pennsylvania Supreme Court.

Newsweek has contacted the Biden campaign for comment via email.