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A new poll could be good news for President Joe Biden as he faces a 2024 rematch with former President Donald Trump after both men won enough delegates to secure their parties' presidential nomination.
A poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research has found that more Democrats said they felt "fearful" or "angry" about another Trump term than Republicans who feel the same about another Biden term.
Fear of what a new Trump administration would look like or anger over the former president's actions could be a key motivating factor in Democratic turnout in November. Newsweek has reached out to the Biden and Trump campaigns via email for comment.
The AP-NORC poll found that seven in 10 Democrats said the words "angry" or "fearful" described their emotions about Trump winning the election either "very well" or "extremely well." That figure was smaller among Republicans, with 56 percent agreeing they would feel "angry" or "fearful" about Biden winning in November.
Around six in 10 Democrats reported feeling both emotions about a Trump victory, compared to just four in 10 Republicans who said the same about the possibility of President Biden winning again. The poll was conducted among 1,282 adults from March 21 to 25 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percent.
Anger and fear about another Trump term in the White House could drive more Democratic turnout in November, but the AP-NORC poll also shows that Republicans are more excited than Democrats about their candidate.
Fifty-four percent of Republicans said that the word "excited" described their feelings about a Trump victory either "extremely well" or "very well", but just four in 10 Democrats said the same about another Biden term.
The 2024 election will see an unusual situation where the sitting president will face his immediate predecessor. The last time that happened was the 1892 election, when former Democratic President Grover Cleveland defeated incumbent Republican President Benjamin Harrison. Harrison had defeated Cleveland in 1888.
Recent polling suggests that Biden and Trump are facing a tight race. A Morning Consult poll from March 22 to 24 showing Biden ahead by just one point, with 44 percent to the former president's 43 percent.
That survey polled 5,833 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percent.
Reed Galen, a former Republican strategist and founder of the anti-Trump group, the Lincoln Project, questioned polling methodology during an appearance on MSNBC on Tuesday.
Galen, who worked on the late Senator John McCain's 2008 presidential bid, called Trump "electoral poison."
"His base is smaller, whiter, more extreme now than it was ever," Galen said.
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About the writer
Darragh Roche is a U.S. News Reporter based in Limerick, Ireland. His focus is reporting on U.S. politics. He has ... Read more