Putin's War 'Deadlocked' After Months of Brutal Combat: Intelligence Chief

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Russia and Ukraine are at a stalemate in the 10-month-old war, a Ukrainian defense official told the BBC.

Major General Kyrylo Budanov, chief of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, said that the war is "deadlocked" until either side can gain an advantage, such as from more weapons or troops.

In the fall, Ukraine initiated a counteroffensive that pummeled Russian troops in certain regions, leading to a withdrawal of Russian troops from Kherson in November. Ukraine reclaimed several key territories, but then the Ukrainian city of Bakhmut began bearing the brunt of Russian attacks. Russia adopted a more defensive stance in other areas as the weather grew colder, according to the BBC.

This month, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said the battles in Bakhmut were breaking down the Russian forces, but now advancements on both sides seem to be slowing as the war nears its 11th month.

Ukraine fires missiles at Russia
Soldiers of the 59th brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces fire missiles on Russian positions in the Russian-occupied Donbas region on December 30, 2022 in Donetsk, Ukraine. A Ukrainian official recently said that both sides... GETTY

Russia hasn't made many recent ground advances in Ukraine, instead opting to focus on aerial attacks targeting the nation's energy infrastructure and causing widespread power outages. However, Budanov said he expects the attacks to slow as Russia blows through its missile reserves. Ukraine's advances are beginning to slow, as well.

Budanov said that each side is waiting on key developments that could give them a leg up. Ukraine is waiting for more supplies from its Western allies, including billions of dollars' worth of resources approved by the U.S. Congress in a nearly $1.7 trillion omnibus spending bill last week.

"We can't defeat [Russia] in all directions comprehensively. Neither can they," Budanov said. "We're very much looking forward to new weapons supplies, and to the arrival of more advanced weapons."

Russia could potentially bolster its advancement if the Kremlin launches a second mobilization at the start of the new year that could add soldiers. In September, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a partial mobilization that called for 300,000 reservists to join the fight.

However, Russia was ill-equipped to manage the mobilization and experienced several organizational hurdles after the order.

Putin also reportedly traveled to Belarus, a visit that sparked rumors that Putin might be asking his ally, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, for troops, although Budanov doubts Belarus will comply.

Newsweek reached out to the Center for Strategic and International Studies for comment.

About the writer

Anna Skinner is a Newsweek senior reporter based in Indianapolis. Her focus is reporting on the climate, environment and weather but she also reports on other topics for the National News Team. She has covered climate change and natural disasters extensively. Anna joined Newsweek in 2022 from Current Publishing, a local weekly central Indiana newspaper where she worked as a managing editor. She was a 2021 finalist for the Indy's Best & Brightest award in the media, entertainment and sports category. You can get in touch with Anna by emailing a.skinner@newsweek.com. Languages: English.


Anna Skinner is a Newsweek senior reporter based in Indianapolis. Her focus is reporting on the climate, environment and weather ... Read more