What Polls Say About David Perdue and Jon Ossoff 1 Week Before the Georgia Election

With one week until the Georgia runoff elections, the race between incumbent Republican Senator David Perdue and Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff remains too close to call, as polls indicate that their contest will come down to who turns out to vote.

Perdue had the advantage in November, earning about 88,000 more votes than Ossoff. However, he fell 0.3 points shy of the 50 percent threshold needed to win an election in Georgia, resulting in the upcoming January 5 runoff that will help decide the fate of the Senate. And at this point in the race, it's anyone's seat to win.

FiveThirtyEight gives Perdue a 0.4 point lead on average over Ossoff, a difference that's not big enough to present a clear winner. In a recent survey, Perdue also has the advantage but only by 1 point, a lead that's within the poll's margin of error.

Of the 500 registered voters surveyed by Insider Advantage on Monday and Tuesday, 49 percent said they were voting for Perude and 48 percent were supporting Ossoff. Since the last poll was taken a week ago, Perdue's support among Black voters declined but increased among white voters.

The limited number of post-election polling has ping-ponged back and forth as to who is in the lead, and a poll released on Monday gave Ossoff the advantage. The Survey USA/WXIA poll of 691 voters found 51 percent were voting for Ossoff and 46 going for Perdue. That put Ossoff up by 1 point and Perdue down by 2 when compared to a poll taken three weeks prior.

More than 1.8 million people in Georgia have already cast ballots in the runoff election, so there are about 5 million votes up for grabs, according to the U.S. Elections Project. Of those who voted early, 1.2 million cast their ballots in person since polls opened on December 14. Another 679,000 cast their ballot by mail.

Ahead of the runoff, there was a strong push to register voters and encourage people to participate in the January 5 election, even if they didn't cast ballots in November. Of the people who voted early, nearly 60,000 didn't cast ballots in the general election.

When it comes to those who did vote in November, the Survey USA poll found few people are planning on changing their minds about their vote. Only 1 percent of people who voted for Perdue in November plan on casting their ballot for Ossoff this time around, and 3 percent of people who voted for Ossoff will now mark their ballot for Perdue.

If Perdue is able to keep his seat in the Senate, Republicans will maintain control of the chamber. However, if Ossoff is able to oust the incumbent, Democrats will be one seat closer to a 50-50 divide that would effectively give them control of both chambers of Congress.